It is a pivotal game in the fight to reach the Top 16 from Group C. Olimpija may run out of chances to advance to the Top 16 with a loss, but will dramatically increase its chances to go through with a win. Brescia can qualify with a win if UNICS downs Nanterre on Wednesday, too. In Round 3, Brescia topped Olimpija 78-71. Codi Miller-McIntyre (15.3 ppg.), Jaka Blazic (11.3 ppg.) and Marko Simonovic (10.9 ppg.) have been Olimpija's leaders until now. DeAndre Lansdowne (11.1 ppg.) has been Brescia's best scorer until now, followed by Awudu Abass (9.8 ppg.) and Kenneth Horton (9.3 ppg.).
A big battle is expected in the backcourt. Lansdowne is a combo guard who can help the team in many ways, but who has been off-target from downtown (26.1% 3FG), shooting the ball with lower percentages than in the rest of his career. On the other hand, Miller-McIntyre is playing a leading role and needs to use his all-around game and court sense against Lansdowne. Setting the right game tempo will be critical in this very interesting matchup.
Keys to victory: Olimpija
Olimpija has struggled to protect its paint, allowing opponents to score 56.7% of their two-point shots. Better frontcourt defense is needed, as well as better sharing of the ball. Olimpija ranks 21st in assists (14.4 apg.) and eighth in turnovers (14.1 per game). Olimpija must improve from the foul line (69.6%) to be more competitive in end-of-game situations. It is trending in that direction after hitting 20 of 23 attempts (87.0%) against UNICS last week.
Keys to victory: Brescia
Brescia has done a fantastic job of defensive rebounding and co-leads the competition at 27.3 per game. On the other hand, Brescia is the lowest-scoring team in the competition (69.7 ppg.) and has especially struggled from beyond the arc (28.1% 3FG). Improving that percentage and taking better care of the ball - Brescia averages 13.6 turnovers per game - will be critical for Brescia to challenge for what could be a truly historic road win.